Rigathi Gachagua has, on several occasions, gone on record claiming that the people of the South Rift have abandoned President William Ruto. He has repeatedly argued that the Kipsigis community is shifting its political loyalty and even claimed he would secure up to 50 percent of the Kipsigis vote.
But politics has a way of testing every claim in public.
The second day of President Ruto's four-day development tour of the South Rift has painted a very different picture. Wherever the President has gone, crowds have turned up in large numbers to welcome him, listen to his speeches, and witness the launch and inspection of development projects. Whether one supports or opposes the government, it is difficult to ignore the public turnout that has accompanied this tour.
For those who predicted empty venues, heckling, or a cold reception, the events have delivered the opposite. The South Rift appears eager to engage with its President, especially as he showcases projects that the government says are aimed at improving livelihoods across the region.
Beyond the politics, development has become part of the conversation. Roads under construction, affordable housing projects, water initiatives, and health facilities have been presented as evidence that government investment is reaching the region. Supporters of the President argue that these projects speak louder than campaign rhetoric.
Gachagua may have assumed that the South Rift vote was already within his reach. However, the reception President Ruto has received suggests that securing the region will not be as straightforward as political declarations might imply. Crowds do not automatically translate into votes, but they do indicate that the political contest remains open.
As Kenya moves closer to the 2027 General Election, one lesson is becoming increasingly clear: no leader can claim permanent ownership of any voting bloc. The South Rift, like every other region, will ultimately determine its political future at the ballot box—not through political predictions, but through the choices of its people.